Possibility of Obama-Romney electoral-popular vote split - FOX 10 News | myfoxphoenix.com

Electoral math: Electoral-popular vote split very possible

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MINNEAPOLIS (KMSP) -

What if Mitt Romney wins the popular vote, but President Obama wins the electoral vote? And what if the Electoral College is a tie?

Guess what? It's not crazy.

An awful lot has been made of the latest Gallup Tracking Poll, which shows Romney leading the president by seven points nationally.

But what matters is the electoral map, and most people believe President Obama holds the lead because of what's happening in the swing states.

MAKE YOUR PREDICTIONS: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/elections/2012-race-predictions

The latest Wall Street Journal poll, out Friday, shows the president with a comfortable lead in both Wisconsin and Iowa. But there's one other state that could decide everything.

Suddenly Cleveland has cache, Cincinnati is chic -- at least to the presidential candidates who've practically taken up residency in Ohio. The way the electoral map is shaping up, it may all come down to the Buckeye State.

Count FOX News political correspondent Chris Wallace among those who believe we could see a mirror image of 2000, when Al Gore won the popular vote but George Bush won the most electoral votes, and the presidency.

"This raises the possibility that Romney, if the Gallup Poll is right, could win the popular vote like Gore did in 2000, but Obama because of narrow victories in a number of swing states could win the electoral vote and be elected president," Wallace said. "Romney almost has to win Ohio, if he doesn't have to win every other swing state."

The winner needs 270 electoral votes, but what about an electoral tie at 269 a piece?

Don't laugh, it's a real possibility. In fact, there are 32 legitimate scenarios. The most plausible have President Obama losing Ohio, or Wisconsin and Iowa.

The last and only electoral tie was in 1800, when Thomas Jefferson defeated John Adams. Under the Constitution, in the event of an electoral tie, the incoming U.S. House of Representatives would cast the electoral votes for their state -- each state getting one vote based on what their representatives decide.

In that case, all eyes would be on Minnesota, with our congressional delegation evenly split with four Democrats and four Republicans. That scenario, by the way, is just about the only way Minnesota becomes a player in this presidential election.

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